Canada in 2050 Population changes
In the graph above you can see how Canada's population increases more from immigration than natural increase after 1999. In 2015 Canada got about 279200 immigrants. Then in 2016 there is about 30000 more than the 2015 because of Syrian refugees. At the moment Canada is accepting more and more immigrants every year as you can see in the graph above.
Currently 1 in 5 Canadians were born in another country. Since the past few years Canada has been taking more than 250000 immigrants per year. Canada's population mainly now depends on immigrants. By 2050 there is gonna be a large drop in population since the baby boomers that were born after world war 2 are gonna be dying. this means Canada will have to be accepting more young immigrants than they are now to fill up the jobs positions that are going to be left because of deaths. Canada has a points system from which they select which immigrants they are interested in to give citizenship, around 2050 they will most likely be looking for young skilled people a with education. Also the natural increase will remain low because the fertility rates projected to remain below the replacement level of 2.1 children per woman, in 2012 there were 1.61 births per woman and it has stayed around the same.
Yearly population % change for Canada:
- • 2005: 32256333 0.99%
- • 2010: 34126173 1.13%
- • 2015: 35939927 1.04%
- • 2016: 36286378 0.96%
Currently Canada has the population of about 36286378 which increased at a rate of 0.96 from the previous year. Canada has a fertility rate of 1.61 births per woman. Canada has a aging population, recorded in 2011 the median age in Canada is 39.9 years. This median is due to the baby boomers that were born after world war 2 and the low fertility rate of Canada.
Birth Rates - 2016
- · Gross Reproduction Rate 0.78 Per 1,000
- · Ratio at Birth - Male to Female 1.06 Ratio
- · Total Fertility Rate 1.60 Births Per Woman
- · Fertility Rate
- · 15-19 13.80 Per 1,000 Women
- · 20-24 53.30 Per 1,000 Women
- · 25-29 101.90 Per 1,000 Women
- · 30-34 101.40 Per 1,000 Women
- · 35-39 41.70 Per 1,000 Women
- · 40-44 7.10 Per 1,000 Women
- · 45-49 0.30 Per 1,000 Women
Growth Rates - 2050
- · Growth Rate 0.24 Percent
- · Natural Growth -0.31 Percent
- · Births Per 1000 9.71 Per 1,000
- · Net Migrants per 1000 5.46 Per 1,000
Mortality Rates - 2050
- · Life Expectancy 83.91 Years
- · Female 86.84 Years
- · Male 81.13 Years
- · Deaths Per 1000 12.82 Per 1,000
- · Infant Mortality Rate 3.31 Per 1,000 Births 1
- · Female 3.09 Per 1,000 Births
- · Male 3.53 Per 1,000 Births
- · Mortality Rate - Age 1-4 0.43 Per 1,000 Births
- · Female 0.39 Per 1,000 Births
- · Male 0.47 Per 1,000 Births
- · Mortality Rate - Under Age 5 3.74 Per 1,000 Births
- · Female 3.48 Per 1,000 Births
- · Male 4.00 Per 1,000 Births
Canada currently has a aging population due to the baby boomers. By 2050 the baby boomers will be retired and their will be a large opening of jobs available. Also people are choosing to have less children or children later on in life. the current birth rate for Canada per 2 adults is 1.63 births, this means that there will be more retired citizens than adults. a few predictions for Canada in 2050 are that their will be a slower growing population due to a lower birth rate. There will be birth rate of 1 child per fertile female since people are choosing to have less children according to data. The population will be about 40 million. Lastly the death rate will be about the same.
According to Statistics Canada about 799,010 people which is 3 percent of Canada's population, identified themselves as having an Aboriginal identity in 1996. Ten years later, the census reported 1,172,790 people, or 4 per cent of the population. The amount of people reporting an Aboriginal identity continues to grow, according to the most recent data. The 2011 NHS reported 1,400,685 people, or 4.3 per cent of the population, identified themselves as Aboriginal persons. About 97 per cent of those who identified themselves as Aboriginal persons identified as First Nations (851,560 people or 60.8 per cent), Métis (451,795 people or 32.3 per cent), or Inuit (59,445 people or 4.2 per cent), with just under 3 per cent reporting other Aboriginal identities or more than one Aboriginal identity.
In 2050 Canada will have an even larger aboriginal population at a increasing rate. Recently the Canadian government has announced that within the next 5 years they will be spending 8.6 billion dollars on the aboriginals for infrastructure, education, training and more. Due to this I believe that that there will be a rise in birth rates for the aboriginals since they are currently not all being treated well by the government. By 2050 their population will be about 2.2 million people.
The video below shows how some aboriginal reserves are. It shows the conditions of the reserves and how the aboriginals feel about it. As u can see they feel as if they are not treated well. With the Canadian government now putting forward 86 million dollars it will help better these reserves and give better educations for the aboriginal children. Once these children grow up and know that they will have a good place to live and that there is a good education system, the birth rate will most likely rise.
My life in 2050
By the year 2050 I believe there are going to be drastic changes not only in my life but Canada. I will most likely have my own family, my own home and be living with my family. As well I will have my own cars. I will be visiting my brother`s house and my sister`s house with my own family. I believe if I will be living in Toronto since that is were I want to live, there will be even more traffic and it will be even more crowded. There are going to be even more immigrants. There is going to be way more advanced technology. For jobs I believe that there will be more jobs available for young immigrants. I also believe that they will change the retirement age in Canada so there will be some older employees. But overall I think in 2050 I will have a good education and a good life because of my parents.
Bibliography
Demography of Aboriginal People. (n.d.). Retrieved May 26, 2016, from http://www.thecanadianencyclopedia.ca/en/article/aboriginal-people-demography/
Aboriginal Peoples in Canada: First Nations People, Métis and Inuit. (2015, December 23). Retrieved May 28, 2016, from https://www12.statcan.gc.ca/nhs-enm/2011/as-sa/99-011-x/99-011-x2011001-eng.cfm
Population growth in Canada. (2010, January 28). Retrieved May 18, 2016, from http://www.statcan.gc.ca/pub/91-003-x/2007001/4129907-eng.htm
Canada's population estimates: Age and sex, July 1, 2015. (2015, June 25). Retrieved May 22, 2016, from http://www.statcan.gc.ca/daily-quotidien/150929/dq150929b-eng.htm
Fertility: Fewer children, older moms. (2016, March 31). Retrieved May 24, 2016, from http://www.statcan.gc.ca/pub/11-630-x/11-630-x2014002-eng.htm
Immigration and Ethnocultural Diversity in Canada. (2015, December 22). Retrieved May 27, 2016, from https://www12.statcan.gc.ca/nhs-enm/2011/as-sa/99-010-x/99-010-x2011001-eng.cfm
Geoba.se: Gazetteer - Canada - 2016 - Statistics and Rankings. (n.d.). Retrieved May 21, 2016, from http://www.geoba.se/country.php?cc=CA
Population growth. (2015, November 30). Retrieved May 25, 2016, from http://www.statcan.gc.ca/pub/89-645-x/2010001/growth-pop-croissance-eng.htm