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The Cox Connection helping you build your wealth

Vol 5 Issue 3 || July 2022

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CAPITAL MARKET UPDATE

Market Performance as of 6/30/22

U.S. SECURITIES

  • S&P 500 TR: QTD -16.10% YTD -19.96%
  • Dow Jones Industrial Average TR: QTD -10.78% YTD -14.44%
  • Bloomberg Barclays US Aggregate Bond: QTD -4.69% YTD -10.35%
  • Top US Sector Performers 2Q: no sectors were positive 2Q22, but Consumer Staples faired best
  • Worst 3 US Sector Performers 2Q: Consumer Discretionary, Communication Services, and Technology

FOREIGN SECURITIES

  • MSCI EAFE (unhedged International Stocks): QTD -14.51% YTD -19.57%
  • MSCI Emerging Market (unhedged): QTD -11.45% YTD -17.63%
  • Bloomberg Barclays Global Aggregate Bond Hedged: QTD -4.30% YTD -9.06%
Market Thoughts - Don Cox

With half the year behind us, now is a great time to consider what the remainder of 2022 may hold. However, with inflation and economic uncertainty causing many of us to delay or cancel vacations, large purchases, and more, it can be challenging to know where to start. Here are a few tips to help make the rest of the year as smooth as possible:

  • Deflate Inflation - Travel-related costs have skyrocketed, causing many to delay or cancel vacation plans. But are you overreacting to current headlines? Let's talk if you're wavering on a scheduled trip.
  • Embrace Uncertainty - If you’ve delayed a major purchase lately, you're not alone. Economic uncertainty has caused many to rethink their expenditures. When your net worth declines, the "wealth effect" tells consumers to rein in spending. But our portfolio strategy takes into account periods of market volatility.
  • Practice Patience - The need to take action can push even the most seasoned investors into questionable territory. Instead, try to take a long view of the markets. Remaining patient and taking a break from watching the markets closely may help weather the storm.

Remember, successful investing happens over the long-term! In my 39 years as an advisor, I repeatedly witness market corrections that are always followed by rising markets. Let us know if you ever want to chat about your future goals or current economic conditions. We're always ready to help.

Cody Cox

The markets had a rough first half of the year with high inflation, volatile financial markets, and the end of a 40-year period of historically low interest rates. The Federal Reserve and other central banks were ultimately prompted to raise interest rates in 2022 with inflation running at levels not seen since the 1980s.

With interest rates now on the rise, what does this mean for the markets?

How have markets weathered previous rising rate periods?

If history is any indicator, it appears that returns could look up even with the rising rates. Capital Group's mid-year research reminds us that "in the eight rate-hiking periods since 1977, the S&P 500 has posted an average annualized return of 12.7% along with stocks outside the U.S. with an average annualized return of 12.1%." While past performance is no guarantee for future results, these numbers show us that the markets have the ability to weather uncertain conditions like the rising interest rate environment we are facing. As always, please give us a call if you have any questions or would like to discuss your financial situation.

Sources: https://www.bls.gov/opub/ted/2022/consumer-prices-up-9-1-percent-over-the-year-ended-june-2022-largest-increase-in-40-years.htm and https://www.capitalgroup.com/advisor/pdf/shareholder/mfcpbr-087-0622.pdf. Total returns of the indices mentioned are provided by Morningstar, MSCI, S&P Dow Jones and SectorSPDR.com. None of these firms nor their Information Providers can guarantee the accuracy, completeness, timeliness, or correct sequencing of any of the information on their websites, including, but not limited to information originated by them, licensed by them from information providers, or gathered by them from publicly available sources. There may be delays, omissions, or inaccuracies in the information. Past returns are no indication of future results.

INVESTMENT INSIGHTS

WHAT'S SO GREAT ABOUT A ROLLOVER?

Changing jobs can be a tumultuous experience. Even under the best of circumstances, making a career move requires a series of tough decisions, not the least of which is what to do with the funds in your old employer-sponsored retirement plan.

Some people choose to roll over these funds into an Individual Retirement Account, and for good reason. About 34% of all retirement assets in the U.S. are held in IRAs, and 59% of traditional IRA owners funded all or part of their IRAs with a rollover from an employer-sponsored retirement plan.1,2

Generally, you have four choices when it comes to handling the money in a former employer’s retirement account.

First, you can cash out of the account. However, if you choose to cash out, you may be required to pay ordinary income tax on the balance plus a 10% early withdrawal penalty if you are under age 59½.

Second, you may be able to leave the funds in your old plan. But some plans have rules and restrictions regarding the money in the account.

Third, you can roll over the assets to your new employer's plan, if one is available and rollovers are permitted.

Or fourth, you can roll the money into an IRA. Rollovers may preserve the tax-favored status of your retirement money. As long as your money is moved through a direct “trustee-to trustee” transfer, you can avoid a taxable event.3 In a traditional IRA, your retirement savings will have the opportunity to grow tax-deferred until you begin taking distributions in retirement.

Rollovers can make it easier to stay organized and maintain control. Some people change jobs several times during the course of their careers, leaving a trail of employer-sponsored retirement plans in their wake. By rolling these various accounts into a single IRA, you might make the process of managing the funds, rebalancing your portfolio, and adjusting your asset allocation easier.

Keep in mind that the Internal Revenue Service has published guidelines on IRA rollovers. For example, beginning after January 1, 2015, You generally cannot make more than one rollover from the same IRA within a one-year period. You also cannot make a rollover during this one-year period from the IRA to which the distribution was rolled over.4

Also, the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority (FINRA) has published some material that may help you better understand your rollover choices. FINRA reminds investors that before deciding whether to retain assets in a 401(k) or roll over to an IRA, an investor should consider various factors including, but not limited to, investment options, fees and expenses, services, withdrawal penalties, protection from creditors and legal judgments, required minimum distributions and possession of employer stock.5

An IRA rollover may make sense whether you’re leaving one job for another or retiring altogether. But how your assets should be allocated within the IRA will depend on your time horizon, risk tolerance, and financial goals.

Sources: Investment Company Institute, 2021, IRS.gov 2021, FINRA.org 2022, https://www.coxglobalassociates.com/resource-center/retirement/whats-so-great-about-a-rollover

CATCH-UP CONTRIBUTIONS

A recent survey found that 23% of people were very confident about having enough money to live comfortably through their retirement years. At the same time, 33% were not confident.

Congress in 2001 passed a law that can help older workers make up for lost time. But few may understand how this generous offer can add up over time.

The “catch-up” provision allows workers who are over age 50 to make contributions to their qualified retirement plans in excess of the limits imposed on younger workers.

How It Works

Contributions to a traditional 401(k) plan are limited to $20,500 in 2022. Those who are over age 50 – or who reach age 50 before the end of the year – may be eligible to set aside up to $27,000 in 2022.

Setting aside an extra $6,500 each year into a tax-deferred retirement account has the potential to make a big difference in the eventual balance of the account. And by extension, in the eventual income the account may generate. (See accompanying chart.)

The chart shown below (or to the left) traces the hypothetical balances of two 401(k) plans. The blue line traces a 401(k) account into which the maximum regular annual contributions are made each year, but no catch-up contributions. The green line traces a 401(k) account into which the maximum regular and full catch-up contributions are made each year.

Upon reaching retirement at age 67, both accounts begin making payments of $4,000 a month.

The hypothetical account without catch-up contributions will be exhausted by the time its beneficiary reaches age 83.

Both accounts assume annual savings and an annual rate of return of 5%. The rate of return on investments will vary over time, particularly for longer-term investments. Annual contributions to and withdrawals from both accounts have been increased by 2% each year to account for potential 2% inflation.

Under the SECURE Act, in most circumstances, you must begin taking required minimum distributions from your 401(k) or other defined contribution plan in the year you turn 72. Withdrawals from your 401(k) or other defined contribution plans are taxed as ordinary income, and if taken before age 59½, may be subject to a 10% federal income tax penalty.

Source: This hypothetical example is used for comparison purposes and is not intended to represent the past or future performance of any investment. Fees and other expenses were not considered in the illustration. Actual returns will fluctuate.  https://www.coxglobalassociates.com/resource-center/retirement/catch-up-contributions 1. EBRI, 2019 Retirement Confidence Survey Distributions from 401(k) plans and most other employer-sponsored retirement plans are taxed as ordinary income and, if taken before age 59½, may be subject to a 10% federal income tax penalty. Under the SECURE Act, in most circumstances, you must begin taking required minimum distributions from your 401(k) or other defined contribution plan in the year you turn 72.

NAVIGATING RETIREMENT PITFALLS

Becoming aware of potential pitfalls may help you to avoid falling into them in the future. Here are a few to learn more about:

Managing Social Security

Social Security benefits are structured to rise about 8% for every year you delay receiving them after your full retirement age. Is waiting a few years to apply for benefits an idea you might consider? Filing for your monthly benefits before you reach your full retirement age can mean comparatively smaller monthly payments.1

Managing medical costs. One report estimates that a healthy couple retiring at age 65 can expect nearly $208,000 in out-of-pocket medical expenses during the course of their retirement, even with additional coverage such as Medicare Part D, Medigap, and dental insurance. Having a strategy can help you be better prepared for medical costs.2

Understanding Longevity

Actuaries at the Social Security Administration project that around a third of today’s 65-year-olds will live to age 90, with about one in seven living 95 years or longer. The prospect of a 20- or 30-year retirement is not only reasonable, but it should be expected.3

Managing Withdrawals

You may have heard of the “4% rule,” a guideline stating that you should take out only about 4% of your retirement savings annually. Each person’s situation is unique but having some guidelines can help you prepare.

Managing Taxes

Some people enter retirement with investments in both taxable and tax-advantaged accounts. Which accounts should you draw money from first? To answer the question, a qualified financial professional would need to review your financial situation so they can better understand your goals and risk tolerance.

Managing Other Costs, Like College

There is no “financial aid” program for retirement. There are no “retirement loans.” A financial professional can help you review your anticipated income and costs before you commit to a long-term strategy, and help you make a balanced decision between retirement and helping with the cost of college for your children or grandchildren.

Source: 1. Social Security Administration, 2021 2. HealthView Services, 2021 3. LongevityIllustrator.org, 2021 https://www.coxglobalassociates.com/resource-center/retirement/navigating-retirement-pitfalls

AND THE EXECUTOR IS

U.S. Supreme Court Justice Warren Burger is famous for more than just his time on the bench. When he died in 1995, he left a 176-word will that gave no specific power to his executors. As a result, he reportedly cost his estate tens of thousands of dollars in attorney’s fees.

Judge Burger’s case shows that even law-savvy individuals can make mistakes when it comes to writing their own legal documents. But giving executors the proper power is only one piece of the puzzle. How do you choose an executor? Can anyone do it? What makes an individual a good choice?

Many people choose a spouse, sibling, child, or close friend as executor. In most cases, the job is fairly straightforward. Still, you might give special consideration to someone who is well organized and capable of handling financial matters. Someone who is respected by your heirs and a good communicator also may help make the process run smoothly.

Above all, an executor should be someone trustworthy since this person will have a legal responsibility to manage your money, pay your debts (including taxes), and distribute your assets to your beneficiaries as stated in your will.

If your estate is large or you anticipate a significant amount of court time for your executor, you might think of naming a bank, lawyer, or financial professional. These individuals will typically charge a fee, which would be paid by the estate. In some families, singling out one child or sibling as executor could be construed as favoritism, so naming an outside party may be a good alternative.

Whenever possible, choose an executor who lives near you. Court appearances, property issues, even checking mail can be simplified by proximity. Also, some states place additional restrictions on executors who live out of state, so check the laws where you live.

Whomever you choose, discuss your decision with that person. Make sure the individual understands and accepts the obligation – and knows where you keep important records. Because the person may pre-decease you – or have a change of heart about executing your wishes – it’s always a good idea to name one or two alternative executors.

The period following the death of a loved one is a stressful time and can be confusing for family members. Choosing the right executor can help ensure that the distribution of your assets may be done efficiently and with as little upheaval as possible.

What Will?

Take a look at some famous people who left without having a will in place:

  • Jimi Hendrix
  • Bob Marley
  • Sonny Bono
  • Pablo Picasso
  • Michael Jackson
  • Howard Hughes
  • Abraham Lincoln

Source: https://www.coxglobalassociates.com/resource-center/estate/and-the-executor-is and LivingTrustNetwork.com, 2022

STAY INFORMED

Two Sides of the Same Dollar

In case you missed it, we have begun an audio series that covers informational personal finance topics. Our series is called TWO SIDES OF THE SAME DOLLAR.

Visit CoxGlobalAssociates.com to listen today!

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Cox Global Associates, Inc. || 1260 Pin Oak Road, Suite 204 || Katy, TX 77494 || 281.395.8300 https://www.coxglobalassociates.com/ || info@coxglobalassociates.com

Securities and Advisory Services are offered through Geneos Wealth Management, Inc. FINRA, SIPC. Investment advisory services also offered through Cox Global Associates, Inc., A Registered Investment Advisor.

The content is developed from sources believed to be providing accurate information. The information in this material is not intended as tax or legal advice. It may not be used for the purpose of avoiding any federal tax penalties. Please consult legal or tax professionals for specific information regarding your individual situation. Articles may be developed and produced by FMG Suite to provide information on a topic that may be of interest. FMG Suite is not affiliated with the named broker-dealer, state- or SEC-registered investment advisory firm. The opinions expressed and material provided are for general information, and should not be considered a solicitation for the purchase or sale of any security.