Introduction- In this presentation, you'll be learning about Canada's condition in 2050 based on my predictions. In this presentation, there will be my predictions on Canada's population, birth/death rates, immigration/emigration rates and the First Nations Community. These predictions will be based on various factors such as current data. For example; 2016 population, migration increase rates and natural increase rates, etc. I'll also be talking about my life in 2050. There will be pictures, graphs, as well as audio.

Population

Canada's Population in 2016

From the population graph above, many factors are shown. The pyramid shows males/females, pre-reproductive range (0-14), reproductive range (15-44) and post reproductive (45-100+). As of July 2014, the population of Canada was 34,834,84. From then, it has increased by a few million. The population in 2016 is 36,286,378. From the population pyramid above, you can see that as of 2016, it is fairly even between the number of males and females. Also, most of the population is in the 30-64 age range. From the pie graph, you can see the most populated provinces as of 2011. The most populated provinces happen to be Ontario, Quebec, British Columbia, and Alberta. These provinces also happen to be the provinces with the highest number of immigrants.

Therefore, in the future, the population will only slowly increase as there will be less people reaching the re-productive age. But this change won't last too long. By 2050, a majority of Canada's population will depend on immigrants. So, if a lot of immigrants don't come to Canada, our population may start to decrease even more. Also, the baby boomers will eventually start dieing, lowering the numbers. By 2050, I believe our population pyramid would look similar to the one below. I predict that the number of males and females will continue to stay fairly even. Lastly, I think a majority of the population will continue to be located in the provinces stated before. I believe the trend will continue, with which provinces will be the most populated. This is because of many different factors. For example; nice climate/good weather, many job opportunities, high diversity, low risks for natural disasters, etc.

Birth/Death Rates-Natural Increase

As you can see on the graph above, the Death rate has been increasing over the years, while the birth rate isn't as stable. This plays as role in Canada's population in the coming years. Overall, there have been more births than deaths, which is a good thing. The life expectancy of Canadians was around 81.24 years as of 2012, this also plays a role in the natural increase. In general, there have been a lot of changes globally. For example, the independence of women. Because now many old perspectives have changed when it comes to gender equality, more woman are now working rather than just being house wives. Because of this, woman are either having less children, or having children later on in life. Since the mid 1970, there has been a low fertility rate for women, around 1.5-1.7 children per women. From 2012, the fertility rate was 1.61/women, compared to the baby boom era, this is a lower number. In the first graph, you can see this change. In the start of the graph (1850's to 1980's), you can see that the natural increase was a huge factor for Canada's population. Whereas in the later years (from 1990's), more of Canada's population has started to a part of migratory increase rather than natural increase.

I think that by 2050, many of these trends will continue. For example, I believe that the fertility rate will continue to stay a low number. This is because of the changing face of society. Because of this low fertility rate, I believe that by 2050 there will be a low natural increase. Therefore, Canada's population will be much more dependent on the migratory increase instead. You can see this impact on the first graph in the Projected Area; the natural increase(the blue) is very low.I also predict that the death rate will stay lower than the birth rate as overall Canada has a good life expectancy rate. This is as Canadians have free healthcare, as well as a good living environment (clean water, free education up till gr.12, peaceful-no war, etc)

Immigration/Emmigration rates

Canada's Population Growth from 1851

Number of Immigrants in Canada from 1850

Pie Graph

As stated in the previous slide, the migratory increase has already started to take over natural increase. As you can from the first graph, this started in 2001, and the trend will continue in the future. As shown on the graph, soon more than 80%(estimate) of the population will be from the migratory increase by 2051. As you can see from the second graph, the number of immigrants coming in is pretty high in the 20th century. On average, Canada takes in around 250 000 immigrants yearly. From this number, a lot of these immigrants come to the province of Ontario. As you can see on the pie graph above, from around 2001-2006, a majority of immigrants are located in Ontario, British Columbia, Quebec and Alberta. Lastly, from the last bar graph, you can see which countries immigrants come from in 1970 and 2010. There are huge differences. As of 2010 a majority of the immigrants are coming from Asia.

I predict that the migratory increase trend will continue. Stated on the previous slide above, many are choosing not to have many kids, giving Canada a low fertility rate. Because of this fact, a majority of our population will be based on the migratory increase. As shown on the first graph, I do believe that the migratory increase will take over the natural increase. I predict that a majority of the immigrants coming to Canada in 2050, will continue to stay in the provinces with a high provincial distribution of immigrants in Canada(Ontario, Quebec, B.C, Alberta). As you can see from the pie graphs, you can see that looking at 2001 and 2006, the trend continued. Even, now in 2015, the trend is the same. I predict that the trend will continue for various reasons. Canada is said to be the land of opportunity. Many immigrants will chose to stay in Alberta as this province is home to a huge industry-the Oil Sands Industry. Therefore, there will many jobs available. I believe Ontario will continue to be the province with the most immigrants, as it's very welcoming. There is a lot of diversity; various restaurants (Chinese, Indian, etc), as well as lots of multi cultural events. Lastly, I believe that even in 2050, a majority of immigrants will be from Asia. I predict this as even now, that is the trend. These numbers are increasing, meaning a bigger Asian community in many areas.

First Nations

The population of Aboriginals was around 1,400,685 in 2011, this serves as 4.3% of Canada's total population. From that number, 60.8% are First Nations, as shown on the pie graph above. Overall, a majority of the aboriginal population is indeed young (28% is 14 years and younger). While 18.2% of the population is 15-24 years old. This plays a factor of the First Nation s future population. The population of the First Nations increased by 22.9% between the years 2006-2011. From the second picture,(the population pyramid), you can see the data already stated. You can also see the different patterns between the Aboriginal and Canadian population. Therefore, the trends will be different compared to what has been said about Canada's population previously. Lastly, in the third graph, you can see which province aboriginals settle. A majority of aboriginals live in Ontario, British Columbia, Alberta and Manitoba.

I believe in the following years, the First Nations population will continue to increase. I predict that by 2050, the population of First Nation will be an even higher number. This is because, this trend has continued over a long period of time. Also because, a majority of the aboriginal population is young. So, overtime, more people will reach the reproductive age, boosting the number of peopleas they will be having children of their own. The current population pyramid is "bottom heavy", unlike Canada's population. From this data we can determine that in the future, the population will grow. you can see this in the population pyramid. The longer bars, are in the 5-19 age range. I also predict that First Nations population will still be a majority of the total Aboriginal population, as in the past census, there was a high percentage of this data (60.8%-more than half). I also predict that the Aboriginal population majority, will be located in the same provinces. I believe this, because over the years, the aboriginal population distribution in the provinces, has stayed relatively the same.

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